Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

commodities

5 Sept 2022 LatAm Monitor China's Economic Slowdown will Hurt LatAm Commodity Exports

  • China’s slowdown is bad news for LatAm, just as domestic demand suffers, due to high inflation.
  • Industrial output in Brazil remains resilient, but growth momentum will ease in the near term.
  • The switch in consumers’ spending to services from goods and global economic slowdown will hurt.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

29 June 2022 Mexico's Trade Deficit Sank Further, due Mainly to High Oil Prices

Mexico’s deficit in May remained very large by past standards, due mainly to high energy prices.

The value of imports likely will continue to rise in Q3, but weaker domestic demand will be a drag later on.

Labour market conditions deteriorated, at the margin, in May, but enough to make Banxico uneasy.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

28 June 2022 Activity Remained Resilient in H1, but the Outlook is Deteriorating Rapidly

The rebound in commodity prices supported LatAm in H1, but external conditions are worsening rapidly. 

Argentina’s economic recovery consolidated in Q1, but the near-term outlook is negative. 

Inflation is still rising rapidly, and inflation expectations are heading north; rates will be hiked further. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

16 May 2022 LatAm Central Banks in a Big Dilemma

Rising export prices continue to support growth, but they are also driving higher-than-expected inflation.

Global inflation pressures from food and energy will keep restrictive bias on monetary policy.

Most countries will continue to tighten, despite the absence of domestic demand-driven inflation.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

11 May 2022 The Recovery in Households' Spending in Brazil Will Slow Soon

Retail sales in Brazil rebounded in Q1, despite high inflation and tighter financial conditions...

...The reopening and further fiscal support have driven the recovery, but momentum will ease soon.

The real income squeeze and further interest rate hikes will hurt, but consumption won't collapse.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

9 May 2022 The BCCh Hiked Rates Boldly as Inflation Accelerated Sharply in April

The BCCh delivers a bigger-than-expected rate hike, and leaves the door open for further tightening.

Inflation rose in April faster than policymakers expected, keeping up the pressure for more rate hikes.

The CLP sell-off, high commodity prices, and the lagged effect of policy stimulus remain a nightmare.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence