Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Asia Key Issues

The Coronavirus Pandemic

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25 Jan 2021 January Trade is Sluggish, but not Collapsing Under Covid Strain

We've been on the watch for signs of deterioration in foreign trade as a result of renewed anti-Covid restrictions both within Asian countries, causing logistical difficulties,...

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)24th Jan 2021 18:10China+

21 Jan 2021 The PBoC Shows its Hand Through its Open Market Operations

In the past couple of years, markets have begun to track PBoC moves much more tightly, as our first chart shows.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)20th Jan 2021 18:00China+

14 Jan 2021 China's December Money and Credit Numbers are Worrisome

China's December Money and Credit Numbers are Worrisome

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)13th Jan 2021 18:00China+

13 Jan 2021 China's 2020 GDP Number Likely will see Significant Revisions

China's 2020 GDP Number Likely will see Significant Revisions

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)12th Jan 2021 18:00China+

11 Jan 2021 Rising Commodity Prices will soon Show up in China's Trade Figures

Rising Commodity Prices will soon Show up in China's Trade Figures

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)10th Jan 2021 18:10China+

6 Jan 2021 Last Year's BoJ Splurge was no Abenomics Re-run

BoJ support has sent monetary aggregates through the roof.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)5th Jan 2021 18:00China+

5 Jan 2021 Caixin PMI Implies China's Small Firms Due a Further Correction

Caixin PMI Implies China's Small Firms Due a Further Correction

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)24th Dec 2020 06:34China+

24 Dec 2020 Is China Santa or the Grinch in the Global Inflation Outlook

China plays a pivotal role in the global inflation outlook.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)23rd Dec 2020 18:10China+

22 Dec 2020 The PBoC is Comfortable with its Policy Settings

The PBoC is rounding out 2020 remaining neutral in interbank markets.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)21st Dec 2020 18:10China+

17 Dec 2020 The Risk of a Double-Dip in Japan is Rising, due to the Third Covid Wave

Japan's flash Jibun Bank PMIs for December were mixed, but they broadly confirm the significant moderation in GDP growth in the current quarter.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)16th Dec 2020 16:40China+

16 Dec 2020 China's Q4 Recovery has Wavered Only Slightly, Thanks to Consumers

Industrial production growth in China has peaked, notwithstanding the likely spike in Q1, when the base effects kick in from the Covid- induced shutdowns earlier this year.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)15th Dec 2020 16:20China+

15 Dec 2020 Japan's Punchy Tankan Likely Overstates the Actual Q4 Recovery

Business sentiment in Japan continues to recover in the current quarter, with the main Tankan indices surprising to the upside.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)14th Dec 2020 18:10China+

14 Dec 2020 Where are the Potential Surprises in Asia at the Turn of the Year?

As we head into 2021, a number of potential surprises--both positive and negative--could throw our full-year forecasts for Asia out of whack early in the year.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)13th Dec 2020 18:10China+

11 Dec 2020 China's Money Data Show no Real Cracks in the 2021 Recovery Story

China's latest money and credit data continue to reassure the PBoC that its job to secure the economy's recovery is done.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)10th Dec 2020 18:10China+

9 Dec 2020 Expect Japanese Consumption to Disappoint the Most this Quarter

Japan's GDP rebound in Q3 was upgraded to 5.3% quarter-on-quarter, from 5.0% in the preliminary report, representing a marginally sharper recovery from the revised 8.3%...

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)8th Dec 2020 18:10China+

8 Dec 2020 Read this Before You get Excited About China's Historic Surplus

China's trade surplus rocketed unexpectedly in November, flying to an all-time high of $75.4B.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)7th Dec 2020 18:10China+

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