Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Asia Key Issues

The Coronavirus Pandemic

Inflation Expectations

14 Jan 2021 China's December Money and Credit Numbers are Worrisome

China's December Money and Credit Numbers are Worrisome

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)13th Jan 2021 18:00China+

12 Jan 2021 Services Inflation is About to Stage a Recovery, Repairing Margins

Services Inflation is About to Stage a Recovery, Repairing Margins

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)11th Jan 2021 18:10China+

4 Jan 2021 China PMI Gives Early Warning on Producer and Services Prices

China's official manufacturing PMI was little changed, at 51.9 in December, compared with 52.1 in November.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)24th Dec 2020 06:32China+

24 Dec 2020 Is China Santa or the Grinch in the Global Inflation Outlook

China plays a pivotal role in the global inflation outlook.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)23rd Dec 2020 18:10China+

21 Dec 2020 The BoJ Extends its Covid Support, the "Review" Won't Change Much

The Bank of Japan kept its main policy settings unchanged on Friday, as widely expected. But the Policy Board voted unanimously to extend the duration of the Bank's Covid-19...

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)20th Dec 2020 18:10China+

18 Dec 2020 An All-Encompassing Period of Disinflation is Afoot in India

CPI inflation in India slowed faster than expected in November, dropping to 6.9%, from the nine-month high of 7.6% in October.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)17th Dec 2020 18:10China+

11 Dec 2020 China's Money Data Show no Real Cracks in the 2021 Recovery Story

China's latest money and credit data continue to reassure the PBoC that its job to secure the economy's recovery is done.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)10th Dec 2020 18:10China+

10 Dec 2020 The PBoC Never Cared much about Food Prices... this Won't Change

CPI inflation in China has fallen below zero for the first time since 2009, but we highly doubt that this will spook the PBoC.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)9th Dec 2020 18:10China+

7 Dec 2020 Did the RBI Just Pour Cold Water on a February Rate Cut?

The Monetary Policy Committee of the Reserve Bank of India voted unanimously to keep the benchmark repo rate unchanged, at 4.00%, for a third straight meeting, as widely expected.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)6th Dec 2020 18:10China+

25 Nov 2020 No Turnaround on the Horizon for Cooling Property Prices in China

Property prices in China continued to cool in October, as pressure remains on developers to avoid being caught out by the government's "three red lines" against...

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)24th Nov 2020 18:10China+

16 Nov 2020 The Door Just Shut for a December RBI Cut, Easing Will Resume in Q1

CPI inflation in India rose unexpectedly in October to 7.6%, from 7.3% in September, putting the final nail in the coffin for a potential RBI rate cut next month.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)15th Nov 2020 18:10China+

30 Oct 2020 Expect the BoJ to Extend its Covid Support Measures in March

The Bank of Japan yesterday left its -0.10% policy balance rate and ten-year yield target of "around zero" unchanged, as widely expected.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)29th Oct 2020 13:10China+

10 June 2020 Collapse in Overtime Hours and Pay in April is Damning for Japan's Q1

Private consumption in Japan will take time to recover, even if some semblance of normality returns from this month.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)9th Jun 2020 17:10China+

29 May 2020 Expect Another BoK Cut, as the Data will Continue to Disappoint

The Monetary Policy Board of the Bank of Korea yesterday voted unanimously to lower its base rate by 25 basis points to a record low of 0.50%.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)28th May 2020 19:10China+

13 May 2020 Punchy Money Data for April Keep China's Recovery Hopes Alive

China's money data continued to improve in April, bolstering the economy's recovery prospects.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)12th May 2020 19:10China+

12 May 2020 India's PMIs Show Lockdown Severity, but New Flexibility will Help

India's shocking PMIs for April leave little doubt that the second quarter will be bad enough to result in a full-year contraction in 2020 GDP, even if economic activity...

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)11th May 2020 19:10China+

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