Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Global Publications

Below is a list of our Global Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)

29 November 2023 Global Monitor Germany's Economy Is Suffering; a Fiscal Crisis Would Make It Worse

  • U.S. - Business Investment Spending Stalled at the Start of Q4
  • EUROZONE - Germany’s Economy Is Suffering; a Fiscal Crisis Would Make It Worse 
  • U.K. - Autumn Statement Tax Cuts Won’t Stop the MPC Cutting Rates Next
  • CHINA+ - China’s Economic Rebalancing Strategy Informs Market Direction
  • EM ASIA - Fiscal Consolidation in Malaysia’s 2024 Budget Likely Too Optimistic 
  • LATAM - Will a Stronger-Than-Expected Economy in Q3 Scare Off Banxico?

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

22 November 2023 Global Monitor 2% Inflation in the U.S. is near

  • U.S. - The Pre-conditions for 2% Inflation are Mostly in Place
  • EUROZONE- The EZ inflation data remain consistent with a March cut,to us 
  • U.K. - CPI Inflation Falling Quickly Enough for the MPC to Start Easing in Q2 
  • CHINA+ - China’s Property Developers Continue to Flounder
  • EM ASIA - Collapse in Imports Saves Thai Q3 GDP from Complete Disaster 
  • LATAM - Milei’s Victory Presages Radical Change in Argentina; Will It Be Good?

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

15 November 2023 Global Monitor Italy is teetering on the brink of recession

  • U.S. - How a Soft Landing Base Case Becomes a Full-Blown Recession 
  • EUROZONE- Italy Facing a Tough Year-End Whether in Recession or Not
  • U.K. - Households Will Put GDP Back on its Rising Path in Q4
  • CHINA+ - Slowing Capital Outflows Ease Pressure on China’s Foreign Reserves 
  • EM ASIA - Watch Out for a Big Payback in India’s Q3 GDP Report
  • LATAM - Banxico Finally Blinks, Opening the Door to Rate Cuts Pretty Soon

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

8 November 2023 Global Monitor Green shoots in Chinese manufacturing

  • U.S. - The Labor Market is Softening, but it is not Rolling Over
  • EUROZONE - Should Bunds be at 3% or Higher? The Term Premium Says Yes 
  • U.K. - The MPC Will Pivot Quickly; Stable Rates in 2024 Are Not Our Base Case
  • CHINA+ - China’s Industrial Profits Improve Further Stoking Investment Demand 
  • EM ASIA - Indonesia’s Narrow Q3 GDP Miss Worse Than It Looks
  • LATAM - Mexico’s GDP Still Resilient in Q3, but Growth Momentum Set to Ease

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

1 November 2023 Global Monitor BoE to keep powder dry again

  • U.S. - Unemployment Likely will Rise even if Job Gains Remain Close to 200K
  • EUROZONE- A Dovish ECB, Despite No Talk of Rate Cuts Next Year
  • U.K. - MPC Won’t Hint at 2024 Rate Cuts Just Yet, Despite Data Surprises 
  • CHINA+ - More Stimulus Provides a Growth Cushion Going into 2024
  • EM ASIA - BSP’s Off-Cycle Rate Hike a Rash Move; Expect No More This Quarter
  • LATAM - We Still Expect Brazil’s Selic Rate to Be Cut to Around 7% Next Year

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

25 October 2023 Global Monitor The ECB will take a breather this week

  • U.S. - Why has Consumption been so Strong, and what will Happen Next?
  • EUROZONE- The ECB will take a breather this week
  • U.K. - CPI Inflation Still on Track to Be Below 3% Six Months From Now 
  • CHINA+ - Household Spending and Targeted Support Boost China’s Q3 GDP 
  • EM ASIA - BI’s Unnecessary Defence of the Rupiah Probably Won’t Last Long 
  • LATAM - Minutes Indicate No Rate Cuts from Banxico in the Short Term

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

18 October 2023 Global Monitor We still think Banxico will cut rates this year

  • U.S. - Higher for Longer is not Higher Forever; the Distinction Matters 
  • EUROZONE- Up coming Swiss Election Will Not Move the Needle for the Economy
  • U.K. - September CPI Inflation to Hold Steady, Below the MPC’s Forecast
  • CHINA+ - Credit Data Reveals China’s Targeted Stimulus Is Enough, for Now
  • EM ASIA - Unconvinced Singaporean Manufacturing Is out of the Woods
  • LATAM - Minutes Indicate No Rate Cuts from Banxico in the Short Term

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

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