Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Global Publications

Below is a list of our Global Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)

29 November 2023 Global Monitor Germany's Economy Is Suffering; a Fiscal Crisis Would Make It Worse

  • U.S. - Business Investment Spending Stalled at the Start of Q4
  • EUROZONE - Germany’s Economy Is Suffering; a Fiscal Crisis Would Make It Worse 
  • U.K. - Autumn Statement Tax Cuts Won’t Stop the MPC Cutting Rates Next
  • CHINA+ - China’s Economic Rebalancing Strategy Informs Market Direction
  • EM ASIA - Fiscal Consolidation in Malaysia’s 2024 Budget Likely Too Optimistic 
  • LATAM - Will a Stronger-Than-Expected Economy in Q3 Scare Off Banxico?

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

22 November 2023 Global Monitor 2% Inflation in the U.S. is near

  • U.S. - The Pre-conditions for 2% Inflation are Mostly in Place
  • EUROZONE- The EZ inflation data remain consistent with a March cut,to us 
  • U.K. - CPI Inflation Falling Quickly Enough for the MPC to Start Easing in Q2 
  • CHINA+ - China’s Property Developers Continue to Flounder
  • EM ASIA - Collapse in Imports Saves Thai Q3 GDP from Complete Disaster 
  • LATAM - Milei’s Victory Presages Radical Change in Argentina; Will It Be Good?

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

15 November 2023 Global Monitor Italy is teetering on the brink of recession

  • U.S. - How a Soft Landing Base Case Becomes a Full-Blown Recession 
  • EUROZONE- Italy Facing a Tough Year-End Whether in Recession or Not
  • U.K. - Households Will Put GDP Back on its Rising Path in Q4
  • CHINA+ - Slowing Capital Outflows Ease Pressure on China’s Foreign Reserves 
  • EM ASIA - Watch Out for a Big Payback in India’s Q3 GDP Report
  • LATAM - Banxico Finally Blinks, Opening the Door to Rate Cuts Pretty Soon

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

8 November 2023 Global Monitor Green shoots in Chinese manufacturing

  • U.S. - The Labor Market is Softening, but it is not Rolling Over
  • EUROZONE - Should Bunds be at 3% or Higher? The Term Premium Says Yes 
  • U.K. - The MPC Will Pivot Quickly; Stable Rates in 2024 Are Not Our Base Case
  • CHINA+ - China’s Industrial Profits Improve Further Stoking Investment Demand 
  • EM ASIA - Indonesia’s Narrow Q3 GDP Miss Worse Than It Looks
  • LATAM - Mexico’s GDP Still Resilient in Q3, but Growth Momentum Set to Ease

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

1 November 2023 Global Monitor BoE to keep powder dry again

  • U.S. - Unemployment Likely will Rise even if Job Gains Remain Close to 200K
  • EUROZONE- A Dovish ECB, Despite No Talk of Rate Cuts Next Year
  • U.K. - MPC Won’t Hint at 2024 Rate Cuts Just Yet, Despite Data Surprises 
  • CHINA+ - More Stimulus Provides a Growth Cushion Going into 2024
  • EM ASIA - BSP’s Off-Cycle Rate Hike a Rash Move; Expect No More This Quarter
  • LATAM - We Still Expect Brazil’s Selic Rate to Be Cut to Around 7% Next Year

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

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Global Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence