Pantheon Macroeconomics

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5th Aug 2015 20:00Eurozone, Economic Monitor

We are wary of a downside surprise in today's German orders, due to weak advance data from the engineering organisation, VDMA. We think factory orders fell 0.5% month-to-month, pushing the year-over-year rate slightly lower to 4.5% in June from 4.7% in May. This is noticeably worse than the market expects, but the consensus forecast for a 0.3% rise implies a jump in the year-over-year rate, which is difficult to reconcile with leading indicators.

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Keywords for: 06 August. 2015 Stabilisation, not Acceleration, in German New Orders Growth

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