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Search Results: 53
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53 matches for "Weekly jobless claims":

US Datanote: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims 8 6 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Good news, but continuing claims aren't as good as they look.

US Datanote: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims 9 3 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Still grim, despite the - legitimate - switch to more friendly seasonals.

US Datanote: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims and Employment Costs, Q1 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Still terrible, but a bit less terrible each week.

US Datanote: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims 7 9 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Regular claims still far too high, and Pandemic Unemployment Assistance claims are rising again.

US Datanote: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims 6 4 20 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Slightly disappointing, but further declines are coming.

US Datanote: U.S. Retail Sales, June, Philadelphia Fed Survey, July, Weekly Jobless Claims 7 16 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Disappointing near-real-time claims are more important than the good retail sales data.

US Datanote: U.S. Weekly jobless claims 10 22 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Better, but for how much longer?

US Datanote: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims and PPI, August 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: The labor market has stalled; PPI boosted by autos and healthcare services.

US Datanote: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims May 7 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Headed for sub-1M by mid-June

US Datanote: Weekly Jobless Claims and Philadelphia Fed Survey, March (Publication Centre)

In one line: Worse--an order of magnitude worse--to come.

US Datanote: Weekly jobless claims, Personal income and spending, August 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: The trend decline in claims is barely visible; spending momentum has slowed sharply.

US Datanote: Weekly Jobless Claims 6 25 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Claims are bottoming, and could easily rise again over the next few weeks.

US Datanote: Weekly Jobless Claims 5 29 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Drop in continuing claims means gross hiring is beginning to rebound.

US Datanote: Weekly Jobless Claims (Publication Centre)

In one line: A bit less awful.

US Datanote: Weekly Jobless Claims & PPI, May 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Claims still heading down, but possible trouble ahead.

US Datanote: U.S. Q2 GDP and Weekly Jobless Claims 7 30 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Both terrible, but could have been worse.

US Datanote: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims and Productivity, Q3 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Claims have stalled; productivity/costs numbers are more noise than signal.

U.S. Datanote: U.S. Consumer Prices, August & Weekly Jobless Claims (Publication Centre)

In one line: Looks bad, but the trend is not--yet--running at 0.3% per month.

U.S. Datanote: International Trade, March Weekly Jobless Claims (Publication Centre)

In one line: Trade deficit has stabilized, provided the China talks don't fall apart.

U.S. Datanote: ADP Employment, August & Weekly Jobless Claims (Publication Centre)

In one line: Solid, but it won't last.

US Datanote: U.S. Employment, June and Weekly Jobless Claims 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Make the most of the good news.

U.S. Datanote: U.S. International Trade, April & Weekly Jobless Claims (Publication Centre)

In one line: Little sign of the feared trade hit on Q2 GDP growth, so far.

Global Datanote: U.S. Consumer Prices, October 2020 & Weekly Jobless Claims (Publication Centre)

In one line: Core inflation is stable for now; medium-term, all bets are off.

US Datanote: Philly Fed, January, Weekly jobless claims (Publication Centre)

In one line: Philly details much less spectacular than the headline; jobless claims back to lows.

US Datanote: U.S. Consumer Prices, October, Weekly Jobless Claims 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Core inflation is stable for now; medium-term, all bets are off.

US Datanote: Durable Goods Orders, October and Weekly Jobless Claims (Publication Centre)

In one line: The jump in capex orders is welcome but impossible to square with surveys; expect a correction.

US Datanote: Philadelphia Fed, November & Weekly Jobless Claims (Publication Centre)

In one line: Philly Fed details weaker than the headline, but still strong; Claims *might* be turning up.

US Datanote: Philadelphia Fed, December and Weekly Jobless Claims (Publication Centre)

In one line: No signs of manufacturing rebound here.

22 Nov 2019 Don't Worry About the Uptick in Jobless Claims, Unless it Persists (Publication Centre)

Back-to-back elevated weekly jobless claims numbers prove nothing, but they have grabbed our attention.

15 Jan 2020 The Rise in Continuing Jobless Claims is No Cause for Concern (Publication Centre)

The weekly jobless claims numbers are due Thursday, as usual, but in the wake of a flood of emails from readers, all asking a variant of the same question-- should we be worried about the rise in continuing jobless claims?--we want to address the issue now.

16 Apr 2020 Jobless Claims Look Set to Fall Sharply, but Remain Insanely High (Publication Centre)

For all the excitement generated by yesterday's raft of appalling economic reports, the weekly jobless claims numbers still offer the best, and almost real-time, guide to the big picture.

CNBC - Jobless claims total 1.5 million, worse than expected as economic pain persists (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

30 July 2020 No Changes Yet from the Fed, but the Door is Open for the Fall (Publication Centre)

The Fed made no changes to policy yesterday, as was almost universally expected.

25 June 2020 Upside Risk for May Durable Goods, but it's Mostly Noise, not Signal (Publication Centre)

The headline May durable goods orders numbers today probably will look very strong, with the odds favoring a much bigger increase than the 10.1% consensus; we'll come back to that.

30 Sept 2020 ADP Set to Report Rising Payrolls, but Momentum is Fading (Publication Centre)

ADP's measure of private payrolls has undershot the initial official estimate in each of the past five months.

3 Sep 2020 Follow the Dallas Fed Trimmed Mean PCE to see Underlying Inflation (Publication Centre)

The wild gyrations in the core inflation numbers in recent months have made it hard to keep track of the underlying story.

9 Jan 2020 Mortgage Demand Still Rising, Home Price Gains Set to Pick Up (Publication Centre)

The reported drop in mortgage applications over the holidays is now reversing, not that it ever mattered.

24 Sept 2020 With Fiscal Relief Hopes Fading Q4 GDP Growth is Set to Slow Sharply (Publication Centre)

Our working assumption now is that Congress will not pass a substantial Covid relief bill until next year, probably in February.

7 Nov 2019 Storm Clouds Gathering for the Auto Market as Loan Standards Tighten (Publication Centre)

One bad month proves nothing, but our first chart shows that October's auto sales numbers were awful, dropping unexpectedly to a six-month low.

4 June 2020 ADP Suggests Re-hiring Took Off as Soon as Reopening Began (Publication Centre)

The unexpectedly small 2,760K drop in the ADP measure of May private payrolls is consistent, at least, with the idea that the partial reopening of several states in the early part of the month prompted an immediate wave of rehiring.

1 Oct 2020 September Payrolls Look a Bit Better After ADP, October Seems Weak (Publication Centre)

We're happy that ADP beat our forecast yesterday-- an extra 250K jobs doesn't change the world, but it's better than the opposite--and we're lifting our forecast for tomorrow's payroll numbers in response.

12 Nov 2020 The 2021 Inflation Outlook is Very Uncertain (Publication Centre)

We remain resolutely open-minded about the medium-term inflation outlook, on the straightforward grounds that the post-Covid economy will bear little resemblance to any previous U.S. economic experience.

24 Oct 2019 Core Capex Orders aren't as Weak as the ISM Suggests... Yet (Publication Centre)

Core durable goods orders have not weakened as much as implied by the ISM manufacturing survey, as our first chart shows, but it is risky to assume this situation persists.

12 Sept 2019 Core CPI Pressure Building Before the Hit from Consumer Goods' Tariffs (Publication Centre)

It's pretty easy to dismiss back-to-back 0.3% increases in the core CPI, especially when they follow a run of much smaller gains.

11 August. 2016 Mortgage Demand is Faltering, Will it Rebound Soon? (Publication Centre)

The medium-term trend in the volume of mortgage applications turned up in early 2015, but progress has not been smooth. The trend in the MBA's purchase applications index has risen by about 40% from its late 2014 low, but the increase has been characterized by short bursts of rapid gains followed by periods of stability.

19 Dec 2019 The Philly Fed Likely is Still Outperforming, Treat with Caution (Publication Centre)

The next couple of rounds of business surveys will capture firms' responses to the Phase One trade deal agreed last week, though the news came too late to make much, if any, difference to the December Philly Fed report, which will be released today.

2 July 2020 Another Increase in Payrolls is a Good Bet, but Anything Can Happen (Publication Centre)

ADP's measure of May private payrolls undershot the official estimate by 5.6 million, surprising everyone after it nailed the April catastrophe.

CHANNEL NEWS ASIA - US weekly jobless claims fall 14% (Media Centre)

Initial jobless claims, a sign of the pace of layoffs, dropped to a seasonally-adjusted 265,000 in the week ending Jan 24, a hefty decline of 43,000 from the prior week's slightly upwardly revised level of 308,000

Wall Street Journal - U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Hold Below 300,000 for Longest Streak on Record (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. Jobless Claims

Business Insider - US weekly jobless claims hit 3 million, bringing the 8-week total to more than 36 million (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. Jobless Claims

18 Feb. 2016 How to Read the Jobless Claims Numbers, Wherever They Go (Publication Centre)

The question of what's really happening to the pace of layoffs is still unanswered, despite the apparent upturn over the past couple of months. The weekly jobless claims numbers are only just emerging from the fog of the usual holiday season chaos. The pattern of pre-holiday hiring and post-holiday layoffs is broadly the same each year, but Christmas and New Year's Day fall on a different day each year, making seasonal adjustment difficult.

17 January 2019 How Many Government Workers are Making Unemployment Claims (Publication Centre)

The weekly jobless claims numbers tend to be choppy around the turn of the year, and our take on the seasonal adjustments points to a clear increase in today's report, for the week ended January 11, even without the impact of the government shutdown.

8 May 2020 The Only Question Today is Just How Big was the Drop in April Payrolls (Publication Centre)

Total job losses between the March and April payroll survey weeks, as captured by the weekly jobless claims numbers, soared to 26.7M.

Consistently Right

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Keywords for: Search Results: 53

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