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12 April 2019 Inflation in China will Breach the 3% Target, but H2 is a Different Story (Publication Centre)

CPI inflation in China surged to a five-month high of 2.3% in March, from 1.5% in February.

20 June 2017 China Property is Slowing, Prices now Depend on Mortgage Rates (Publication Centre)

House price inflation in tier-one cities has been crushed by China's most recent monetary tightening. This is a sharp turnaround from the overheating mid-way through last year. Unlike in previous cycles, interest rates are probably more important for house prices than broad money growth.

11 Sept 2019 China's PPI Deflation isn't all Commodity-Driven (Publication Centre)

China's PPI deflation deepened in August, with prices dropping 0.8% year-over-year, after a 0.3% decline in July.

4 January 2017 Brazil's PMI Lost Momentum in Q4, but Should Stabilize Soon (Publication Centre)

Brazil's manufacturing PMI edged down to a six-month low of 45.2 in December, from 46.2 in November. This marks a disappointing end to Q4, following a steady upward trend during the first half of the year, as shown in our first chart. December's new work index fell to 45.2 from 47.7 in November, driving a slowdown in production, purchases of materials, and employment. The new export orders index also deteriorated sharply in December, falling close to its lowest level since mid-2009.

NEW YORK TIMES - Fed Still Looking at Raising Rates This Year, Minutes Show (Media Centre)

Ian Shepherdson comments after FOMC Minutes release yesterday

New York Times - Fed Predicts Modest Economic Growth From Tax Cut (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on the Fed's growth forecast

NEW YORK TIMES - Fed Might Not Have the Luxury of Slow and Steady Rate Increases (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. interest rates

NEW YORK TIMES - Federal Reserve Won't Raise Interest Rates Before June, at Earliest (Media Centre)

The Federal Reserve kept its options open on Wednesday, signaling that it would not raise short-term interest rates any earlier than June, while leaving unresolved how much longer it might be willing to wait before lifting its benchmark rate from near zero, where the central bank has held it for more than six years

NEW YORK TIMES - U.S. Economy Added 257,000 Jobs in January - Unemployment Rate at 5.7% (Media Centre)

The economic momentum evident late last year carried into 2015, the Labor Department said Friday, with American employers adding 257,000 jobs in January as wage growth rebounded and more people joined the workforce

POLITICO - Downside risk to GDP today (Media Centre)

OWNSIDE RISK TO GDP TODAY -- Pantheon's Ian Shepherdson: "We are nervous about the first estimate of fourth quarter GDP growth, due today

Pantheon Macroeconomics App Launch (Media Centre)

Apple and Android app now available

NEW YORK TIMES - U.S. Economy Added 271,000 Jobs in October - Unemployment Rate at 5% (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on today's Payroll report

NEW YORK TIMES - European Central Bank's Bond-Buying Will Help U.S. Tourists and Investors (Media Centre)

European Central Bank's Bond-Buying Will Help U.S. Tourists and Investors...

NBC - How a 'no-deal' Brexit would have ripple effects on U.S. companies (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on the effects of a no-deal Brexit on the EU

MAIL ONLINE - US home prices still trend lower in November (Media Centre)

US home prices rose in November from October but the underlying trend continued to point to a slowdown in price gains, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index released Tuesday

LA TIMES - Durable goods orders unexpectedly tumble sharply in February (Media Centre)

Chief US Economist Ian Shepherdson on Durable Goods Orders, February

Market Watch - The stock market is too complacent about risk of higher rates, says top forecaster (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson named Market Watch forecaster of the month for July

MARKET WATCH - Yellen's message this week? Rate hikes are coming (Media Centre)

Chief US economist Ian Shepherdson on the latest Jobs report

MARKETWATCH - So many jobs, so little growth. What gives? (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. hiring

Markets Insider - Tariff anxiety is mounting across American households, threatening the backbone of the economy (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on the U.S. China-Trade War

Question of the Week, WC 11th June (Media Centre)

Are there any signs that the U.S. tax cuts and/or regulatory relaxation are stimulating increased non-residential fixed investment?

Independent - UK pay growth data disappoints again as real wages decline at fastest rate in three years (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Labour Market data for May

Question of the Week, WC 11th November (Media Centre)

Is Japan's pending 15-month anything to write home about?

Independent - UK economy growth could slip due to North Sea pipeline shutdown, warn experts (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. economy growth

Financial Times - Risks remain high in Argentina (Media Centre)

Chief Latam Economist Andres Abadia on Argentina

Financial Times - Mortgage borrowing rise signals stabilisation in UK house market (Media Centre)

Chief UK Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Mortgage Borrowing

Financial Times - Lending growth among EU member states diverges (Media Centre)

Claus Vistesen on Eurozone Business Lending

FINANCIAL TIMES - UK house price falls - how much is down to Brexit? (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. House Prices

FINANCIAL TIMES - UK housing market stabilises after Brexit vote (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Mortgage Approvals

Financial Times - US durable goods orders rise by most in 7 months in March (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson discussing U.S. Durable Goods Orders

Financial Times - Uptick in French business confidence dulled by manufacturing (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on French Business Confidence

FINANCIAL TIMES - Jobs data give Bank of England leverage to keep rates low (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. employment

Financial Times - Inflation dip raises doubts over May interest rate rise (Media Centre)

Samuel Tombs discussing U.K. Inflation

Financial Times - Eurozone investors turn positive for first time in eight months (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on sentix in December

FINANCIAL TIMES - Eurozone industrial output drops in month after UK's Brexit vote (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Eurozone Industrial Production

Financial Times - Eurozone core inflation 'oddly weak' say analysts (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Eurozone Inflaiton

FINANCIAL TIMES - French consumers turn pessimistic in June (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on French Consumer Spending.

Financial Times - German economic confidence slides in March (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen discussing the German Zew in April

Financial Times - Halifax data strengthen evidence of uptick in UK house prices (Media Centre)

Chief U.K Economist Samuel Tombs on UK Halifax House Prices in July

FINANCIAL TIMES - German industrial production falls unexpectedly for July (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on German Industrial Production

FORBES - All Change In Argentina -- For The Better (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on the recent elections in Argentina

FORBES - All Hail The Eurozone's Disaster-Prone Economy (Really) (Media Centre)

Provocative notes from Ian Shepherdson, the Chief Economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics

IG - US labour market driving the need for a rate rise from the Fed (Media Centre)

Dr Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, says that while US rates will rise by 0.25% on 14th December, the central bank needs to continue to move rates up or wages will spiral up out of control.

Guardian - Weak UK growth and tax revenues put the squeeze on Hammond (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on UK Government Borrowing

Independent - House price growth surges to 5.2% in May, says Halifax (Media Centre)

Samuel Tombs on Halifax House Price Index in May

Independent - UK house price growth drops to five-year low as London remains worst-performing region (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. House Prices

Question of the Week, WC 21st Oct (Media Centre)

What to expect from the ECB as Ms. Lagarde takes the seat as new president?

GUARDIAN - UK service companies anxious about year ahead (Media Centre)

Chief U.K.. economist Samuel Tombs comments on U.K. PMI

GUARDIAN - UK inflation steady at 2.4% in October after food price war (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Inflation

Guardian - UK consumers face sharpest price rise in services for nearly a decade (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Price Increases

Guardian - Record rise in import costs dents growth in UK manufacturing (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Manufacturing

Guardian - UK factory output grows at fastest rate since mid-1990s (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey

Guardian - UK GDP growth slower than expected as inflation bites (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs discussing Q1 GDP Results

Guardian - UK house prices fell in January for the first time in five months (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. House Prices

GUARDIAN - UK house price growth up in final set of figures before vote to leave EU (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. House Prices

Independent - UK mortgage lending rises ahead of possible rate rise (Media Centre)

Samuel Tombs on U.K. Halifax House Price data

The Hill - Superb jobs data ensures Dems will have their hands full in midterms (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson discussing U.S. Employment

The Hill - Memo to Powell: Best not to offer hostages to fortune (Media Centre)

Article by Ian Shepherdson in The Hill

The Hill - Manufacturing is back, but don't thank Trump (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson with a guest column in The Hill on U.S. Manufacturing

The Japan Times - Economists agree on one thing about Abe's stimulus package: It helps the Bank of Japan (Media Centre)

Chief Asia Economist Freya Beamish discussing Japans new stimulus package

The Street - US Yield Curve Hugs Inversion: Recession Signal Clouded by Negative Global Rates (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson discussing the latest from the Fed

TRT World - Cancellation of 100-bolivar notes in Venezuela (Media Centre)

Interview with Andres Abadia on cancellation of 100-bolivar notes in Venezuela

The Times - Trade war hits US growth as Trump renews attack on Federal Reserve (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on the U.S. Trade War with China

The Times - Shock deterioration in building sector knocks sterling (Media Centre)

Samuel Tombs on U.K. Construction in June

The Guardian - UK house prices make surprise 5.9% rise in February, Halifax says (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Halifax House Prices

The Guardian - Fears of no-deal Brexit push British export orders close to year low (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Manufacturing

TELEGRAPH - House prices soar, fuelled by sky-high rises in London flats - but uncertainty lies ahead (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. House Prices

Telegraph - House price growth jumps to highest since March despite weaker market post-Brexit vote (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the U.K. Halifax House Price Index in December

Telegraph - Eurozone slowdown gathers pace after Italy budget upset (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Eurozone Growth

Telegraph - Tax hikes add to inflation pressure (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Inflation

TELEGRAPH - UK house prices slip as market feels a chill (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. House Prices

The Guardian - Charity shop and antique purchases drive up UK retail sales (Media Centre)

Samuel Tombs on U.K. Retail Sales in June

Wall Street Journal - Britain's New Housing Dilemma (Media Centre)

Samuel Tombs discussing the U.K. Monetary Policy

WALL STREET JOURNAL - Cheaper Oil Drags Down Business Inflation, but Long Deflationary Period Unlikely (Media Centre)

U.S. inflation gauges are sliding toward negative territory for the first time in more than five years. But the oil-fueled tumble in prices is far from the kind of growth-sapping episodes of deflation that tend to worry economists

Wall Street Journal - U.S. Consumer Sentiment Held Steady in Early July (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. Consumer Sentiment

WALL STREET JOURNAL - U.K. Pay Growth Flattens Off (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on Pay Growth and Unemployment

WALL STREET JOURNAL - Snow Weighs on Home-Builder Confidence, But It's No Polar Vortex (Media Centre)

"We know from last year's experience during the polar vortex, when the headline index fell 10 points, that the NAHB survey is extremely susceptible to severe weather, so we can't right now view it as a reliable indicator of the underlying trend in housing market activity," Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, said in a note to clients.

Wall Street Journal - U.S. Durable-Goods Orders Post Biggest Jump in a Year (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. Durable Goods Orders

WALL STREET JOURNAL - U.S. Pending Home Sales Drop in December (Media Centre)

The U.S. housing market stumbled into 2015 as a leading indicator of home sales dipped in December

WSJ - Britain's Pound Depreciation Isn't Working (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the Depreciation of the Pound

Wall Street Journal - U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Hold Below 300,000 for Longest Streak on Record (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. Jobless Claims

WALL STREET JOURNAL - Jobless Claims Rise Slightly in April 18 Week (Media Centre)

Chief US Economist Ian Shepherdson on today's Inital Jobless Claims data

WALL STREET JOURNAL - ISM Services Report Alleviates Market's Economic Anxiety (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on the latest ISM Non-Manufacturing data release

WALL STREET JOURNAL - Economists react to the May jobs report: "Unambiguously Positive" (Media Centre)

Chief US economist Ian Shepherdson on the latest Jobs report

WALL STREET JOURNAL - Economists React to the January Fed Statement: 'The Door is Still Open to a June Hike' (Media Centre)

The Federal Reserve said Wednesday it would keep short-term interest rates near zero until at least the middle of the year. The central bank's policy committee also signaled caution about low inflation and nodded to overseas uncertainty by including new language that it would monitor international developments. Here's how economists reacted

WALL STREET JOURNAL - Economists React to First-Quarter GDP: 'Pretty Lackluster' (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. Q1 GDP

WALL STREET JOURNAL - Economists react to the May jobs report: "Unambiguously Positive" (Media Centre)

Chief US economist Ian Shepherdson on the latest Jobs report

WALL STREET JOURNAL - Economists react to the May jobs report: "Unambiguously Positive" (Media Centre)

Chief US economist Ian Shepherdson on the latest Jobs report

WALL STREET JOURNAL - ISM Service-Sector Index Eases in May (Media Centre)

Chief US economist Ian Shepherdson on the latest ISM nonmanufacturing data

WALL STREET JOURNAL - Ian Shepherdson wins US Forecasters award, 2014 (Media Centre)

The Wall Street Journal is pleased to annouce that Ian Shepherdson, of Pantheon Macroeconomics, has won the US Forecaster of 2014 award.

TELEGRAPH - Building sector slows down and could even fall into recession (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Construction

Sunday Times - Pound's fall 'the worst devaluation in history' (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs discussing the devaluation of the GBP

Question of the Week, WC 2nd July (Media Centre)

Why is the EZ current account surplus rising and net exports falling at the same time? 

Question of the Week, WC 25th June (Media Centre)

With the Mexican Elections on July 1st, our Chief Latam Economist Andres Abadia has received many questions about the possible outcomes and how this will affect the Mexican economy going forward.

FINANCIAL TIMES - Eurozone climbs out of deflation in June (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Eurozone Inflation.

Question of the Week, WC 28th Oct (Media Centre)

What do the protests mean for Chile's economy?

Reuters - UK factory output falls for first time in almost a year (Media Centre)

Samuel Tombs on U.K. Manufacturing Output

Reuters - UK economy flat-lines, hit by Brexit and global slowdown, as election nears (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs discussing U.K. GDP

REUTERS - U.S. factory activity growing at weakest pace since 2016 (Media Centre)

Ian Shepherdson on U.S. Manufacturing Activity

REUTERS - UK inflation was zero in 2015 despite December lift (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Inflation

Reuters - UK retailers suffer worst September on record, BRC says (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Retail Sales

SKY NEWS - Weakening tax receipts hurt public finances in September (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Public Finances

Reuters. - U.K. house prices fall for second month in January (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. house prices

REUTERS - Colombia set to up rates to fight inflation, bolster credibility (Media Centre)

Senior LatAm Economist Andres Abadia on Colombia

Question of the Week, WC 7th Oct (Media Centre)

Are there any signs of a Chinese recovery yet? Freya Beamish discusses

REUTERS - Cheaper petrol pushes UK inflation to lowest since March 2017 (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Inflation

Question of the Week, WC 9th July (Media Centre)

Why is the EZ current account surplus rising and net exports falling at the same time? 

FINANCIAL TIMES - Eastern Europe vulnerable to Brexit fallout (Media Centre)

Senior International Economist Andres Abadia on Latam currency risks.

Bloomberg - WaPo Op-Ed: 'This Is How Fascism Comes to America' (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg - Vistesen: Merkel won't get anything from Trump meeting (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen discussing the meeting between Angela Merkel and Donald Trump

Bloomberg - US core capital goods orders lend support to dollar (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson discussing Durable Goods Orders in May

Bloomberg - What Economists Are Saying Ahead of the U.S. Jobs Report for May (Media Centre)

Ian Shepherdson in U.S. Employment for May

Bloomberg - Why the Justice Department Went After the Wrong Deal (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson discussing U.S. Economy

BUSINESS INSIDER - Britain's government could make the pound's crash even worse (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the government's fiscal policy

BLOOMBERG - Yields lower, Equities probably higher - Ian Shepherdson (Media Centre)

Pantheon Macroeconomics Founder and Chief Economist Ian Shepherdson discusses his outlook for the economy, equities and European banks. He speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance."

Bloomberg - U.S. Capital-Equipment (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson discussing Durable Goods Orders in May

Bloomberg - Monte Paschi Proceeds With Capital Plan (Media Centre)

Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA will step up efforts to win investors for an expanded debt-to-equity swap over the coming days, pressing ahead with a 5 billion-euro ($5.3- billion) capital increase as its options to avoid a state rescue dwindle. Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Euro Zone Economist Claus Vistesen weighs in on "Bloomberg Daybreak: Americas."

BLOOMBERG - Chile's Economy Grows More Than Forecast as Demand Picks Up (Media Centre)

Senior International economist Andres Abadia comments on Chile's economic growth

Bloomberg - Brexit: London's status as a Financial Hub (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on Bloomberg Surveillance

BLOOMBERG - Economist Says U.S. Consumer Spending Is About To 'Surge' (Media Centre)

Ian Shepherdson, Chief Economist at Pantheon MacroEconomics, on U.S. Consumer spending

BLOOMBERG - Fiscal spending cushions Chile's first contraction in 6 years (Media Centre)

Senior International Economist Andres Abadia on Chile GDP.

Bloomberg - Latvia Scandal Places ECB Under Spotlight as Bank Supervisor (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Latvia

Bloomberg - How Fed Rate Hike Messaging Impacts the Economy (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on Bloomberg Surveillance

BUSINESS INSIDER - Brits are hoarding cash post-Brexit -- and it's a 'worrying signal' for the economy (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Money Supply

BUSINESS INSIDER - Car sales are going through the roof with Europe's surprising spending recovery (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on European Car Sales

BUSINESS INSIDER - Homebuilder sentiment dropped in November (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on NAHB

BUSINESS INSIDER - Homebuilder confidence tumbles in March (Media Centre)

Chief US Economist Ian Shepherdson comments on disappointing Homebuilder Confidence data

BUSINESS INSIDER - Housing Starts Surge In December (Media Centre)

Housing Starts Surge In December

BUSINESS INSIDER - It was a rough morning for the US economy (Media Centre)

Ian Shepherdson comments on Retail Sales data for June

BUSINESS INSIDER - New home sales crush expectations (Media Centre)

Chief US Economist Ian Shepherdson on "Remarkable" New Home Sales Data for February

Business Insider - London's house prices are growing at their slowest rate since 2012 (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on Nationwide's June House Price Index

Financial Times - Economists split over impact of UK election outcome (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the U.K. Election

BUSINESS INSIDER - Here come private payrolls ... (Media Centre)

In a note to clients ahead of the report, Ian Shepherdson at Pantheon Macro said that while ADP isn't all that reliable of an indicator for the government's payroll release, set for Friday morning.

BUSINESS INSIDER - Europe's Largest Economy Is Officially In Deflation (Media Centre)

Germany's consumer price index fell 0.3% month-over-month in January. It's the first time the inflation rate went negative since September 2009. "Deflation has arrived," Pantheon Macroeconomics' Claus Vistesen said

BUSINESS INSIDER - ECONOMIST: 'The wage number is wrong, payrolls are strong.' (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. Employment

BUSINESS INSIDER - Europe's mightiest river is drying up, causing a recession in Germany. Yes, really. (Media Centre)

An unusual factor may have contributed to the German economy's likely fall into a shallow recession at the tail end of 2018, a new report from research house Pantheon Macroeconomics suggests.

Business Insider - Here are 3 big reasons why Germany's economy is flopping -- and why recession could be around the corner (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen discussing Germany's economy

BUSINESS INSIDER - Germany's ballooning trade surplus just hit a new record size (Media Centre)

Germany's exporters just broke another record: The trade surplus for Europe's biggest economy is now at its highest on record.........Here's how Germany's recent export history looks, according to Pantheon Macroeconomics

BLOOMBERG - And Now It's Time to Talk About the Fed (Media Centre)

With today's jobs report confirming a strong labor market recovery, it's time to turn our attention back to the Fed

BBC NEWS - Warm weather lifts retail sales in July (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Retail Sales in July

BBC - UK economic growth 'stalls' as service sector slides (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. PMI data in November

BBC - UK car sales fall for fifth month in a row (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs discussing U.K. New Car Registrations

BBC - UK car sales fall 9.3% in July says motor trade body (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. New Car Registrations, July

BBC - UK economy grows at fastest rate since late 2016 (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. GDP in Q3

BBC - UK government borrowing lowest for 11 years (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on Government Borrowing

BBC - UK manufacturing output at its highest for 10 years (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Manufacturing Output

BBC - UK government borrowing narrows after EU credit (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Government Borrowing

BBC - Retail sales in first annual fall since 2013 (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Retail Sales

BBC - Manufacturing shrinks as Brexit stockpiling halts (Media Centre)

Samuel Tombs on U.K. Manufacturing

BBC - Eurozone economy to grow at faster rate, says central bank (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on the ECB

ABC News - Trump administration reveals plans for massive tax cuts (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson speaking about Donald Trump's plans for sweeping tax cuts

BBC - Eurozone growth hit 10-year high in 2017 (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Eurozone growth

BBC - Eurozone growth hit 10-year high in 2017 (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Eurozone growth

BBC - House prices slip in May in subdued market (Media Centre)

Samuel Tombs on U.K. House Prices

BBC - House prices in UK shift to lower gear (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs discussing U.K. House Prices

BBC - UK retail sales hit by mild autumn (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Retail Sales in October

BBC - UK third quarter GDP confirmed at 0.5% (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on UK Q3 GDP

BBC NEWS - UK growth rebound eases recession fears (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the latest GDP figures

BBC NEWS - UK employment hits another record high (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the latest employment figures

BBC NEWS - UK new car sales rise in September (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. New Car Sales

BBC NEWS - US economic growth continues to slow (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. GDP in Q4

BBC NEWS - US jobs shock as growth slows (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on the latest employment data.

BBC News - US economic growth slowest this year (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on Q3 GDP

BBC NEWS - UK 'at risk of slipping into recession' (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the latest PMI data

BBC News - U.S. wage growth hits nine-year high (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on August Employment data

BBC - US jobs growth jumps in November (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on U.S. Employment in November

BBC - US economic growth slows to 2.3 (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson discussing U.S. Q1 GDP

BBC - Wage growth hit by higher inflation (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the latest U.K. Labour Market Data

BBC NEWS - German economy narrowly avoids recession (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Germany's economy

BBC NEWS - Inflation surprise as computer game prices drop (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Inflation Growth

BBC News - Government borrowing in June highest since 2015 (Media Centre)

Samuel Tombs on U.K. Public Sector borrowing

CNBC - Greece hits back at reports of euro zone 'shock' (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Greece

CNBC - Fed hike hint surprises economist (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Ian Shepherdson on Brexit risk to a June rate hike

CNBC - Greece is selling bonds again, but they're not out of the woods yet (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on the Greek return to the market

CNBC - Is Draghi about to massively misfire? (Media Centre)

Is Draghi about to massively misfire?

CNBC - There's one 'real success story' in the euro zone (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Eurozone GDP

CNBC - Record abstention figures could boost Le Pen's chances in the upcoming election (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen with the latest on the French Election

CNBC - Eurozone's economy grows 0.3 percent in third quarter, up 1.6 percent on last year (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Eurozone GDP data in Q3

BUSINESS INSIDER - Retail sales rise less than expected (Media Centre)

Chief US Economist Ian Shepherdson on Retail Sales figures, March

CITY AM - Eurozone sees faster money supply growth (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen comments on the Eurozone's Money Supply

CITY AM - Eurozone economy comes off the boil in January despite rebound in end-of-year retail sales (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone economist Claus Vistesen comments on the Eurozone PMIs

City AM - Rising confidence from consumers and businesses point to faster growth in second quarter (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs discussing U.K. Consumer Confidence

CNBC - Argentina's bonds fall after leftists sweep to power in presidential election (Media Centre)

Chief LatAm Economist Andres Abadia on the Argentina Election

CNBC - ECB controversy over speech that sank the euro (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen comments on ECB speech changes

CNBC - Can German shoppers save the euro zone? (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on the latest German consumer figures

CNBC - These are the stocks that will outperform if Macron wins (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen discussing the potential impact of the French Election Results on the Eurozone

DAILY MAIL - US personal incomes rise, spending weak in February (Media Centre)

Chief US Economist Ian Shepherdson on US Personal Income, February

Financial Times - 'Shackles are still on': analysts respond to UK economic growth data (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. growth data

Express - Price growth set to slow for June - but analysts predict further inflation this year (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on Consumer Price Index, June

Financial Times - Analysts warn rise in UK retail sales may be a 'blip' (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs ok U.K. Retail Sales

Financial Times - Analysts weighs in on 'status quo' round of Fed minutes (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson comments on the Fed Monetary Policy Meeting in March

Financial Times - Economists react as eurozone unemployment hits fresh post-crisis low (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Eurozone unemployment

Financial Times - Confidence in UK house prices wobbles despite October rise (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs discussing U.K. House Prices

DUKASCOPY TV - Claus Vistesen discussing Italy's place in the Eurozone (Media Centre)

After disappointing Italian Industrial Output Data, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen discusses the current situation in the Eurozone.

DAILY TELEGRAPH - US unemployment takes shock tumble to 5.5pc (Media Centre)

Ian Shepherdson on strong non-farm payroll numbers for February

DAILY TELEGRAPH - Euro slump offers lifeline to ailing Europe (Media Centre)

Claus Vistesen comments on Eurozone deflation

DAILY TELEGRAPH - Dollar dives as weak US retail sales data raises growth fears (Media Centre)

Ian Shepherdson on December's low US retail sales.

DAILY TELEGRAPH - Eurozone grows at strongest pace in nearly three years (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Q1 growth in the Eurozone

DAILY TELEGRAPH - Germany's economic revival threatened by Greek crisis and Russian uncertainty (Media Centre)

A closely watched indicator of the German economy has come in weaker than analysts had anticipated, dampening hopes for the country's revival

DAILY TELEGRAPH - Surprise comeback for France as economy grows twice as fast as UK (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone economist Claus Vistesen comments on the latest GDP figures from France

DAILY TELEGRAPH - Stock markets rocked by US consumer fears (Media Centre)

Chief US Economist Ian Shepherdson on Consumer Confidence figures for April

City A.M. - Retail sales decline for longest stretch in eight years (Media Centre)

Chief UK Economist Samuel Tombs on UK Retail Sales

CNBC - European stocks close higher after referendum rejection (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on the Italian Referendum result

BUSINESS INSIDER - The US trade deficit tumbled to a 5-month low in November (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on the U.S. Trade Deficit

Business Insider - There's a coming storm set to 'batter' the UK economy -- and it has nothing to do with Brexit (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs the recent increase in Oil

Business Insider - These 7 charts show the effect of Trump's trade war on the US economy -- and why a big slowdown is looming (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on the latest from the U.S. Economy

BUSINESS INSIDER - Top economist throws shade at the 'research institute' that releases a widely followed jobs number (Media Centre)

Ian Shepherdsonon why the ADP report is simply not a reliable indicator

BUSINESS INSIDER - This key labor market indicator hasn't been this strong in years (Media Centre)

On Thursday morning, we'll get the best-performing indicator of the US labor market: initial jobless claims. For a while now, Pantheon Macroeconomics' Ian Shepherdson has been stressing that the weekly print is noisy, particularly with the volatility the end-of-year season brings

CITY A.M. - Cheap energy and low interest rates lift Eurozone consumers (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen comments on Eurozone Consumer Confidence

Business Insider - The Tories might not get the crushing victory they expect in this election (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs discussing the General Election in June

BUSINESS INSIDER - Retail sales tank....then again, the weather was terrible (Media Centre)

Chief US Economist Ian Shepherdson attributes bad weather to February US Retail Sales

BUSINESS INSIDER - The idea that Brexit isn't totally screwing the economy is 'baloney' (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the impact of the Referendum

Business Insider - The pound's general election jump faces a 'swift reversal' as reality takes hold (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs discussing the effect the general election will have on the pound,

Business Insider - The only analyst who called the June 8 election correctly now says there is 'clear evidence that the Brexit vote has been bad for the economy' (Media Centre)

A look back on Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Toombs' predictions ahead of the U.K. General Election

Business Insider - Trump's trade war is triggering a 'sharp slowdown' among American small businesses (Media Centre)

Chief U.S. Economist Ian Shepherdson on the latest NFIB data

CBS NEWS - European Central Bank unveils major stimulus program (Media Centre)

European Central Bank unveils major stimulus program...

CBS NEWS - GM plant closings, layoffs indicate a cooling U.S. economy (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Retail Sales in October

CBS NEWS - Is Greece headed for eurozone exit? (Media Centre)

Claus Vistesen comments on the aftermath of the Greek referendum

BUSINESS INSIDER - US trade deficit balloons (Media Centre)

The US trade deficit unexpectedly widened by 17% to $46.6 billion in December from $39.8 billion in November.

CBS NEWS - Will Syriza win rock the global economy? (Media Centre)

Claus Vistesen on the Greek election results impact on the Eurozone

Business Times - Hawkish Fed, weak yuan signal more trouble ahead for emerging markets (Media Centre)

Chief Asia economist Freya Beamish on the weak yuan

CHANNEL NEWS ASIA - US weekly jobless claims fall 14% (Media Centre)

Initial jobless claims, a sign of the pace of layoffs, dropped to a seasonally-adjusted 265,000 in the week ending Jan 24, a hefty decline of 43,000 from the prior week's slightly upwardly revised level of 308,000

Business Insider - We just got another sign that Brexit is ending the consumer boom (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Retail Sales

Business Insiders - The UK, German and Italian economies are all tanking at the same time (Media Centre)

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen on Eurozone Economies

Business Insider U.K. - The best of 2018 may already be over for the pound (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs discussing sterling in 2018

BUSINESS INSIDER - Wages for American workers still look like they are about to go higher (Media Centre)

In January, average hourly wages grew 0.5% over the prior month, the biggest month-on-month increase since November 2008......Ian Shepherdson at Pantheon Macro said the outlook for wage growth is still strong

Business Insider U.K. - These 4 charts will define the British economy at the start of 2018 (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on the U.K. Economy in 2018

BUSINESS INSIDER UK - BRITAIN BEATS -- GDP figures shrug off Brexit and smash expectations (Media Centre)

Chief U.K. Economist Samuel Tombs on U.K. Q3 Preliminary GDP data

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Ian Shepherdson

Ian Shepherdson's mission is to present complex economic ideas in a clear, understandable and actionable manner to financial market professionals. He has worked in and around financial markets for more than 20 years, developing a strong sense for what is important to investors, traders, salespeople and risk managers.

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Monthly publication telling the economic story of each region in roughly 40 charts

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Claus Vistesen

Claus Vistesen has several years' experience in the independent macro research space, as a freelancer, consultant and, latterly, as Head of Research of Variant Perception, Inc. He holds Master's degrees in economics and finance from the Copenhagen Business School and the University of Hull.

Samuel Tombs

Samuel Tombs has more than a decade of experience covering the U.K. economy for investors. At Pantheon, Samuel's research is rigorous, free of dogma and jargon, and unafraid to challenge consensus views. His work focuses on what matters to professional investors: The links between the real economy, monetary policy and asset prices. He has a strong track record of getting the big calls right. The Sunday Times ranked Samuel as the most accurate forecaster of the U.K. economy in both 2014 and 2018. In addition, Bloomberg consistently has ranked Samuel as one of the top three U.K. forecasters, out of pool of 35 economists, throughout 2018 and 2019. His in-depth knowledge of market-moving data and his forensic forecasting approach explain why he consistently beats the consensus. Samuel's work on Brexit goes beyond simply reporting developments and is always analytical and unbiased, enabling investors to see through the noise of the daily headlines. While his analysis points to a particular path that politicians will take, he acknowledges the inherent uncertainty and draws out the economic and financial market implications of all plausible Brexit scenarios. Samuel holds an MSc in Economics from Birkbeck College, University of London and an undergraduate degree in History and Economics from the University of Oxford. Prior to joining Pantheon in 2015, he was Senior U.K. Economist at Capital Economics. In 2011, Samuel won the Society of Business Economists' prestigious Rybczynski Prize for an article on quantitative easing in the UK. He is based in London but frequently visits our other offices. Recent key calls include: 2018 - Correctly forecast that GDP growth would slow and inflation would undershoot the MPC's initial forecast, prompting the Committee to shock investors and almost other economists by waiting until August to raise Bank Rate, rather than pressing ahead in May. 2017 - Argued that the MPC was wrong to expect CPI inflation to stay below 3% following sterling's depreciation. He also highlighted that economic indicators pointed to the Conservatives losing their outright majority in the snap general election.

About Us

Pantheon Macroeconomics' Chief Economist Dr. Ian Shepherdson provides unbiased, independent economic intelligence to financial market professionals.

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Short, punchy analysis of major economic data, emailed within a few minutes of their release

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Pantheon ranked top forecaster of the U.K. economy in 2018

We are pleased to announce that our Chief U.K. Economist, Samuel Tombs, was ranked the most accurate forecaster of the U.K. economy in 2018 by The Sunday Times.

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