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10 matches for " initial claims":

10 Sept 2020 Initial Claims are Falling, but the Bigger Picture is Still Disconcerting (Publication Centre)

We're expecting to see another dip in initial claims for regular state unemployment benefits today, to about 850K, but that's only part of the story.

1 May 2020 Job Losses are Slowing, but Remain Hugely Elevated (Publication Centre)

The drop in jobless claims to 3,839K in the week ended April 25, from 4,442K in the previous week, leaves the data still terrible, but markedly less terrible than at the 6,867K peak in late March.

24 Apr 2020 Jobless Losses are Slowing, but are Still Terrifyingly Fast (Publication Centre)

The 810K drop in jobless claims in the week ended April 18 was a bit less than we expected, but the downward trend is clear; claims have fallen by some 2.4M from their peak, in the final week of March.

3 Oct 2019 ADP Consistent with September Jobs up 150K the Trend is Slowing (Publication Centre)

ADP's report that September private payrolls rose by 135K was slightly better than we expected, but not by enough to change our 150K forecast for tomorrow's official report.

5 April 2019 Payrolls Probably Failed to Return Fully to Trend in March (Publication Centre)

We set out in detail yesterday, here, why we think the official payroll number today will be better than the 129K ADP reading; we look for 160K.

12 April 2018 Base Effects Kick-in to Core Inflation, Much More to Come (Publication Centre)

The month-to-month core CPI numbers in March were consistent, in aggregate, with the underlying trend.

16 July 2020 State Initial Claims Likely Down Again, but Lookout for PUA Claims (Publication Centre)

The weekly initial jobless claims numbers have been a useful proxy for the real-time performance of the economy since Covid-19 struck.

US Datanote: U.S. Jobless Claims 27.8.2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Initial claims are lower than a month ago, but progress now is painfully slow.

US Datanote: U.S. Jobless Claims and Philly Fed, November 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: The rise in initial claims is more likely to be signal than noise, unfortunately.

US Datanote: U.S. Jobless Claims, Housing Starts, Philly Fed 2020 (Publication Centre)

In one line: Initial claims now barely falling; Housing starts hit by hurricanes; Philly Fed better than headlines.

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