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The 15% fall in the FTSE 100 since its May 2018 peak undoubtedly is an unwelcome development for the economy, but past experience suggests we shouldn't rush to revise down our forecasts for GDP growth.
As things stand, we see little reason to revise down our forecasts for the U.K. economy in response to the tailspin in equity markets
Expectations that the MPC will raise Bank Rate again soon have taken a big knock over the last two weeks.
Yesterday's public finance figures brought more good news for the Chancellor.
When the MPC last met, on November 2, it attempted to persuade markets that Bank Rate would need to rise three times over the next three years to keep inflation close to the 2% target.
Donald Trump's victory casts a shadow of political uncertainty over what had appeared to be a decent outlook for the U.S economy. The U.K.'s trade and financial ties with the U.S., however, are small enough to mean that any downturn on the other side of the Atlantic will have little impact on Britain.
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