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Ian Shepherdson

Ian Shepherdson

Ian Shepherdson's mission is to present complex economic ideas in a clear, understandable and actionable manner to financial market professionals. He has worked in and around financial markets for more than 20 years, developing a strong sense for what is important to investors, traders, salespeople and risk managers.

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About Us

Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic research to financial market professionals around the world

Chart of the Week 29th March 2023

Chart of the Week 29th March 2023

New BoJ Governor to Maintain the Status Quo

New York Times - Eurozone Inflation Edges Lower, but Pressure on Prices Continues

New York Times - Eurozone Inflation Edges Lower, but Pressure on Prices Continues

Senior Eurozone Economist Melanie Debono comments on Eurozone Inflation

New York Times - The Eurozone Slipped Into a Mild Recession Early in the Year

New York Times - The Eurozone Slipped Into a Mild Recession Early in the Year

Chief Eurozone Economist Claus Vistesen discussing the current economic situation in the Eurozone

PM Datanote: U.S. New Home Sales, October

PM Datanote: U.S. New Home Sales, October

The trend in new home sales is flattening.

PM Datanote: US New Home Sales, February

PM Datanote: US New Home Sales, February

Probably a blip in the uptrend

PM Datanote: US New Home Sales, January

PM Datanote: US New Home Sales, January

Sales will creep higher this year

PM Datanote: New Home Sales, December

PM Datanote: New Home Sales, December

Lower mortgage rates driving sales up

PM Datanote: U.S. New Home Sales, November

PM Datanote: U.S. New Home Sales, November

Poor, but likely to improve over the next couple months.

PM Datanote: U.S. New Home Sales, September

PM Datanote: U.S. New Home Sales, September

Still rising, but not for long.

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 16 NOVEMBER 2023

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 16 NOVEMBER 2023

China's house price fall steepens in October; Japan's export growth eases on softer demand from key markets

CHINA+ WRAP: Caixin PMI still relatively strong; Korean manufacturers buoyed by new product launches, high-end chip exports

CHINA+ WRAP: Caixin PMI still relatively strong; Korean manufacturers buoyed by new product launches, high-end chip exports

Caixin PMI still relatively strong; Korean manufacturers buoyed by new product launches, high-end chip exports

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, September 2023

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, September 2023

In one line: Headline lifted by large orders, and revisions signal downside risks to the initial Q3 GDP estimate.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, October 2023

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, October 2023

In one line: Grim, but the headline was depressed by major orders.

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, October 2023

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, October 2023

In one line: A tough start to Q4.

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 15 March 2024

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 15 March 2024

PBoC stands pat on MLF rate; draining cash from banking system first time since end 2022;China's property market rout continues, with prices falling further

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, December 2023

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, December 2023

In one line: Boosted by major orders in aircraft; core orders were weak.

7 March 2024 US Monitor Nothing new from Powell, but quits hitting a new low is a good surprise

7 March 2024 US Monitor Nothing new from Powell, but quits hitting a new low is a good surprise

Nothing new from Powell, but quits hitting a new low is a good surprise

China+ Datanote: Money & Credit, China, February

China+ Datanote: Money & Credit, China, February

Fiscal stimulus likely to drive credit demand after the holiday period

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, September 2023

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, September 2023

In one line: Down for the second straight quarter.

PANTHEON EM ASIA DATA WRAP 25 March 2024

PANTHEON EM ASIA DATA WRAP 25 March 2024

Lunar New Year demand boosts headline CPI in Singapore New tariff adjustment mechanism pushes up utilities inflation in Malaysia

China+ Datanote: Money & Credit, China, March

China+ Datanote: Money & Credit, China, March

Disappointing credit data point to undercooked domestic demand, despite fiscal stimulus

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, October 2023

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, October 2023

In one line: Early days, but it looks like a decline in Q4.

26 October 2023 UK Monitor ONS' New Labour Market Data Methodology Has Many Pitfalls

26 October 2023 UK Monitor ONS' New Labour Market Data Methodology Has Many Pitfalls

ONS' New Labour Market Data Methodology Has Many Pitfalls

UK Datanote: U.K. MPC Decision, Minutes & Monetary Policy Report, November

UK Datanote: U.K. MPC Decision, Minutes & Monetary Policy Report, November

In one line: New forecasts signal no rate cuts in 2024, but the MPC won't be bound by them.

China+ Datanote: Official Manufacturing PMI, China, January

China+ Datanote: Official Manufacturing PMI, China, January

Manufacturing production steams ahead of new orders, as firms restock in anticipation of higher sales

PM Datanote: U.S. Existing Home Sales, October

PM Datanote: U.S. Existing Home Sales, October

A new cycle low, but a modest rebound is coming soon.

PM Datanote: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims, December 16

PM Datanote: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims, December 16

Layoffs still very depressed, but people are finding it harder to secure new jobs.

EM Asia Datanote: CPI, Malaysia, November

EM Asia Datanote: CPI, Malaysia, November

In one line: A new post-pandemic low, but risks to the outlook from imported inflation increase.

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 12 JANUARY 2024: China's price data indicate still-weak demand

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 12 JANUARY 2024: China's price data indicate still-weak demand

China's price data indicate still-weak domestic demandExports lifted by new markets, autos

6 February 2024 UK Monitor New Labour Force Survey data no hammer blow to rate-cut expectations

6 February 2024 UK Monitor New Labour Force Survey data no hammer blow to rate-cut expectations

New Labour Force Survey data no hammer blow to rate-cut expectations

China+ Datanote: Caixin Manufacturing PMI, China, March

China+ Datanote: Caixin Manufacturing PMI, China, March

Chinese manufacturing demand improves after the Lunar New Year holiday

27 February 2024 UK Monitor Mortgage Refinancing Headwind to Lessen, Despite the Rise in New Rates

27 February 2024 UK Monitor Mortgage Refinancing Headwind to Lessen, Despite the Rise in New Rates

Mortgage Refinancing Headwind to Lessen, Despite the Rise in New Rates

China+ Datanote: Manufacturing PMI, China, February

China+ Datanote: Manufacturing PMI, China, February

In one line: China's manufacturing sector treads water during Lunar New Year

4 March 2024 China+ Monitor China's Lunar New Year holiday spending splurge won't last

4 March 2024 China+ Monitor China's Lunar New Year holiday spending splurge won't last

China's Lunar New Year holiday spending splurge won't last

6 March 2024 Emerging Asia Monitor Singaporean retail sales to pick up in February as New Year effects turn

6 March 2024 Emerging Asia Monitor Singaporean retail sales to pick up in February as New Year effects turn

Singaporean retail sales to pick up in February as New Year effects turn

EM Asia Datanote: CPI, Taiwan, February

EM Asia Datanote: CPI, Taiwan, February

In one line: Seasonal impact from the Lunar New Year results in a jump to services inflation.

PM Datanote: U.S. Existing Home Sales, September

PM Datanote: U.S. Existing Home Sales, September

A new cycle low, and likely to fall further in Q4.

China+ Datanote: CPI, China, February

China+ Datanote: CPI, China, February

In one line: China's consumer price inflation bounces in February, thanks to the timing of the Lunar New Year holiday.

 

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