U.S. Document Vault
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The gap between the official measure of the rate of growth of core retail sales and the Redbook chainstore sales numbers remains bafflingly huge, but we have no specific reason to expect it to narrow substantially with the release of the April report today.... More by Ian Shepherdson
In one line: Better, but still an incomplete recovery.... More by Ian Shepherdson
Markets are caught in a trade loop.... More by Ian Shepherdson
In one line: Details indicate that downside pressure is much less than headlines suggest.... More by Ian Shepherdson
The core CPI inflation rate rose in April to 2.1% from 2.0%, thanks to unfavorable rounding, despite the below consensus 0.14% month-to-month print.... More by Ian Shepherdson
On the face of it, our forecast of higher core inflation by the end of this year is seriously challenged by the recent data.... More by Ian Shepherdson
In one line: Trade deficit has stabilized, provided the China talks don't fall apart.... More by Ian Shepherdson
In one line: Recent declines in y/y rates for core goods and services won't continue.... More by Ian Shepherdson
Core producer price inflation is falling, and it probably has not yet hit bottom.... More by Ian Shepherdson
A steep drop in prices for financial services in January was a key factor behind the sharp slowdown in the rate of increase of the core PCE deflator in the first quarter, relative to the core CPI.... More by Ian Shepherdson
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