Pantheon Macroeconomics - Whatever number the BEA publishes this morning for first quarter GDP growth -- we expect zero -- you probably should add about one percentage point to correct for the persistent seasonal adjustment problem which has plagued the data for many years. Reported first quarter growth has been weaker than the average for the preceding three quarters in 21 of the 31 years since 1985 -- and in eight of the past 10 years.

U.S. | 28 April 2017 The Economy Appears to have Stalled in Q1, but Q2 Will be Better
Whatever number the BEA publishes this morning for first quarter GDP growth -- we expect zero -- you probably should add about one percentage point to correct for the persistent seasonal adjustment problem which has plagued the data for many years. Reported first quarter growth has been weaker than the average for the preceding three quarters in 21 of the 31 years since 1985 -- and in eight of the past 10 years.

Sorry, but our website is best viewed on a device with a screen width greater than 320px. You can contact us at: info@pantheonmacro.com.

28 April 2017 The Economy Appears to have Stalled in Q1, but Q2 Will be Better

By Ian Shepherdson

Whatever number the BEA publishes this morning for first quarter GDP growth -- we expect zero -- you probably should add about one percentage point to correct for the persistent seasonal adjustment problem which has plagued the data for many years. Reported first quarter growth has been weaker than the average for the preceding three quarters in 21 of the 31 years since 1985 -- and in eight of the past 10 years.

Posted: 27th Apr 2017 in 'U.S.'

This document is only available to subscribers of our U.S. Economic Research.

Request a complimentary trial or login here

Are you taking full advantage of our daily publications?

Pantheon Macroeconomics produce daily publications for U.S., Eurozone, Latin America, UK and Asia, as well as analysis on key data within a few minutes of their release. To activate a complimentary trial on any of these areas, please click here.

U.S. Economic ResearchEurozone Economic ResearchLatin America Economic ResearchUK Economic ResearchAsia Economic Research

« Go back to publications list, or Click here to register for a complimentary trial
Consistently Right

Access Key Enabled Navigation

Keywords for: U.S. | 28 April 2017 The Economy Appears to have Stalled in Q1, but Q2 Will be Better

fed, weather, durable goods, goods orders, bea, gdp, gdp growth, energy, energy demand, growth, consumption, government spending, fixed investment, s&l construction, mining, capex, ism exports, capex orders, pantheon macroeconomics, pantheon, macroeconomic, macroeconomics, independent advice, independent analysis, independent macroeconomic researcj, independent, analysis, research, economic intelligence, economy, economic, economics, economists, Dr. Ian Shepherdson, Ian Shepherdson, financial market, financial, market, finance, macro, macro research, independent macro research