Pantheon Macroeconomics - U.K. Document Vault

U.K. Documents
U.K. Document Vault

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U.K. Publications

Below is a full list of our U.K. Publications.

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4 February 2019 MPC to Break its Radio Silence With a Hawkish Message, Despite Brexit

Investors have revised down their expectations for interest rates since the November Inflation Report and now only a 50% chance of a 25bp hike in Bank Rate is priced-in by the end of this year.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

1 February 2019 Consumer Confidence Indices Likely are Giving an Overly Downbeat Steer

It's tempting to conclude from the recent decline in consumers' confidence that growth in real spending will continue to weaken over the coming quarters, from the already modest 1.8% year-over-year rate in Q3.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

31 January 2019 A Two-Week Delay is All the Prime Minister has Achieved

The Prime Minister achieved a rare victory yesterday, when the Commons passed the government-backed Brady amendment.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

30 January 2019 Extremely Downbeat Leading Indicators Should not be Trusted

Some closely-watched composite leading indicators for the U.K. economy, and for many others, are flashing red.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

29 January 2019 A Guide to Today's Key Brexit Votes in Parliament

Votes in the House of Commons to day likely will mark the start of MPs stamping their collective will on the Brexit process, following the Prime Minister's botched attempt at getting the current Withdrawal Agreement--WA--and Political Declaration through parliament earlier this month.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

*January 2019 - U.K. Economic Chartbook*

A Soft Brexit Remains The Most Likely Outcome....So The MPC Soon Up The Pace Of Tightening... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Chartbook  Download

28 January 2019 Has the Link Between Labour Costs and Inflation Broken?

At first glance, the U.K. consumer price data show a perplexing absence of domestically generated inflation.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

25 January 2019 How Would an Extension of Article 50 Affect the MPC's Rate Hike Plans?

MPs look set to take a decisive step next Tuesday towards removing the risk of a calamitous no-deal Brexit at the end of March.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

24 January 2019 Future Fiscal Stimulus Is Still Secure, Despite Worse Borrowing Data

On the face of it, the trend in public borrowing deteriorated sharply late last year. In the three months to December, borrowing on the main "PSNB ex ." measure, which excludes banks owned by the public sector, was a trivial £0.3B, or 1.6%, lower than in the same months of 2017.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

23 January 2019 The MPC Won't Risk Letting the Labour Market Overheat

November's labour market data were the last before the MPC's February meeting, when it will conduct its annual assessment of the supply side of the economy.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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