U.K. Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.
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Our Chief U.K. Economist, Samuel Tombs, regularly appraises how the economy is coping with the prospect of Brexit in the U.K Monitor, Datanotes and Chartbook. Here, we have highlighted some recent, key reports.
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The Prime Minister's resignation and the stillborn launch of the Withdrawal Agreement Bill last week has forced us to revise our Brexit base case, from a soft E.U. departure on October 31 to continued paralysis.... More by Samuel Tombs
The chances of our Brexit base case--a soft departure just before the current October 31 deadline--playing out have declined sharply over the last two weeks.... More by Samuel Tombs
The chances of the first phase of the Brexit saga concluding soon declined sharply last week.... More by Samuel Tombs
Unsurprisingly, cross-party Brexit talks are not going well.... More by Samuel Tombs
We're among a small minority of economists forecasting that GDP rose by 0.1% month-to-month in March.... More by Samuel Tombs
The 10.3% year-over-year decline in private new car registrations in April likely is not a sign that the trend in either vehic le sales or consumers' overall spending is taking a turn f or the worse.... More by Samuel Tombs
The MPC restated its commitment to an "ongoing tightening of monetary policy" yesterday, but provided no new guidance to suggest that the next hike is imminent.... More by Samuel Tombs
GDP growth currently is subdued by historical standards, but at least it is not debt-fuelled.... More by Samuel Tombs
News that the U.K.'s departure from the E.U. has been delayed by six months, unless MPs ratify the existing deal sooner, appears to have done little to revive confidence among businesses.... More by Samuel Tombs
The MPC likely will vote unanimously to keep Bank Rate at 0.75% on Thursday.... More by Samuel Tombs
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