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U.K. Key Issues
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U.K. Key Issues

Brexit

Our Chief U.K. Economist, Samuel Tombs, regularly appraises how the economy is coping with the prospect of Brexit in the U.K Monitor, Datanotes and Chartbook. Here, we have highlighted some recent, key reports.

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8 January 2019 The Housing Market is Set to Freeze in Early 2019, Thanks to Brexit

The housing market perhaps is where the adverse impact of Brexit uncertainty can be seen most clearly.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

21 December 2018 The MPC Will Act Quickly When Brexit Uncertainty Fades

The minutes of this week's MPC meeting indicate that it won't waste any time to raise interest rates after MPs finally have signed off a Brexit deal.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

14 December 2018 Remainer Tory Rebels now have Greater Leverage

After the drama of the last few days, Brexit developments now are set to proceed at a slower pace.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

13 December 2018 Assuming the PM Wins, the Path to a Softer Brexit Will Become Clearer

After seemingly endless speculation, the confidence vote in Theresa May's leadership of the Conservative party finally has been triggered following the submission of at least 48 letters by disgruntled MPs to the Chairman of the 1922 Committee.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

5 December 2018 How's the Maths in Parliament Looking for a People's Vote?

With less than a week to go until MPs' meaningful vote on Brexit legislation, on December 11, the Prime Minister still looks set to lose.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

3 December 2018 March 29 Is Not an Immovable Deadline for Brexit

Both the E.U. and the U.K. government have been keen to emphasise, since the Withdrawal Agreement was provisionally signed off, that March 29 is a hard deadline for Brexit.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

29 November 2018 The Bank's Brexit Deal Scenarios are Consistent with a May Rate Hike

Predictably, the Bank of England's estimate that GDP would plunge by 8% in the first year after a disorderly no-deal, no transition Brexit and that interest rates would need to rise to 5.5% to contain inflation grabbed the headlines yesterday.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

26 November 2018 Is a May Rate Hike Nailed-on if a No-Deal Brexit Is Avoided

The Bank of England will be dragged into the political arena on Thursday, when it sends the Treasury Committee its analysis of the economic impact of the Withdrawal Agreement and the Political Declaration, as well as a no-deal, no- transition outcome.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

20 November 2018 The PM is Likely to Hang on, Even if a Confidence Vote is Triggered

As we write, 25 Conservative MPs have confirmed publicly that they have submitted no-confidence letters to the Chairman of the 1922 Committee. That's 23 short of the 48 required to trigger a leadership contest, though some MPs might have submitted letters without making it public.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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