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U.K. Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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U.K. Key Issues

The Coronavirus Pandemic

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  • Type: Economic Monitor
  29 May 2020 The Government will Blink on Brexit, Though Not Until the Last Minute

For now, the U.K. government still insists that the Brexit transition period will end in December, regardless of whether a new trade deal has been negotiated with the E.U. or not.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  28 May 2020 Unconventional Activity Indicators Still Recovering, Across the Board

Unconventional indicators of economic activity suggest that the recovery from the Covid-19 shock is gathering momentum.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  27 May 2020 No Need for Negative Rates When the TFSME Can be Enhanced

Speculation that the MPC will abandon its aversion to negative rates has increased, following recent comments by Committee members.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  26 May 2020 High Gilt Issuance no Sweat for Investors, for the Time Being

A decade of public deficit reduction was fully reversed in April, as the coronavirus tore through the economy.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  22 May 2020 GDP Likely Has Started to Recover, Despite Still-Gloomy Surveys

We're placing less weight than usual on conventional business surveys at the moment, as they are ill-suited to charting the economy's turnaround from the Covid-19 slump.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  21 May 2020 Zero CPI Inflation Still Likely by the Summer, Following April's Big Fall

CPI inflation took a big step in April towards the near-zero rate we anticipate by the summer.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  20 May 2020 Wages to Fall Outright as Labour Market Slack Accumulates

We hope never to see another labour market report as bad as yesterday's, though the omens aren't good.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  19 May 2020 Inflation Likely Slumped Below 1% in April, on Course for Zero by Q3

April's consumer prices report, released on Wednesday, likely will show that CPI inflation plunged and is heading quickly to a near-zero rate by the summer.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  18 May 2020 How to Decipher This Week's Labour Market Report

This week's labour market report--primarily reflecting conditions in March, though some data refer to April--will lift the veil on the initial economic damage from Covid-19, though the full horror will emerge only later.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  UK 15 May 2020 Housing Market Activity Won't Return to Pre-Virus Levels this Year

April's RICS Residential Market survey confirmed that housing market activity collapsed to negligible levels during the lockdown, which prohibited property viewings, depleted the work forces of lenders and prompted many people to defer big financial decisions.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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