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Investors have revised down their expectations for interest rates since the November Inflation Report and now only a 50% chance of a 25bp hike in Bank Rate is priced-in by the end of this year.... More by Samuel Tombs
It's tempting to conclude from the recent decline in consumers' confidence that growth in real spending will continue to weaken over the coming quarters, from the already modest 1.8% year-over-year rate in Q3.... More by Samuel Tombs
The Prime Minister achieved a rare victory yesterday, when the Commons passed the government-backed Brady amendment.... More by Samuel Tombs
Some closely-watched composite leading indicators for the U.K. economy, and for many others, are flashing red.... More by Samuel Tombs
Votes in the House of Commons to day likely will mark the start of MPs stamping their collective will on the Brexit process, following the Prime Minister's botched attempt at getting the current Withdrawal Agreement--WA--and Political Declaration through parliament earlier this month.... More by Samuel Tombs
MPs look set to take a decisive step next Tuesday towards removing the risk of a calamitous no-deal Brexit at the end of March.... More by Samuel Tombs
The Prime Minister has revealed that her Plan B for Brexit is to get Eurosceptics within the Tory party on side in an attempt to show the E.U. that a deal could be done if the backstop for Northern Ireland was amended. Her plan is highly likely to fail, again.... More by Samuel Tombs
Signs that the government is softening its Brexit plans, in response to its substantial defeat in the Commons last week, has enabled sterling to recover most of the ground lost against the dollar and euro in the fourth quarter of last year.... More by Samuel Tombs
The government remains on course to lose next Tuesday's Commons vote on the Withdrawal Agreement--WA--by a huge margin.... More by Samuel Tombs
The housing market perhaps is where the adverse impact of Brexit uncertainty can be seen most clearly.... More by Samuel Tombs
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