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Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Key Issues

8 March 2019 Doves on Parade at the ECB No Hikes in 2019, and New TLTROs

Mr. Draghi and his colleagues erred on the side of maximum dovishness yesterday.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

6 March 2019 The EZ PMIs Showed Further Signs of Resilience in February

Yesterday's final PMI data for February confirmed the story from the advance reports.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

1 March 2019 China's Latest PMIs Give no Reason for Hope Trade Partners Beware

Chinese data still are in the midst of Lunar New Year-related noise, so take February's PMIs with a pinch of salt, even though they ostensibly are adjusted for seasonal effects.... More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

1 March 2019 The Brexit Drag on Net Migration Should Fade This Year

The latest official data show that net migration to the U.K. hasn't fallen much, despite all the uncertainty created by the Brexit vote.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

28 February 2019 The Probable Delay to Brexit Makes a Q3 Rate Hike a Closer Call

We have no choice but to revise down our forecast for GDP growth in Q2, now that the threat of a no-deal Brexit likely will hang over the economy beyond March, probably for three more months.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

27 February 2019 Mrs. May's No-Deal Brexit U-turn Demonstrates Remainers' Leverage

Sterling has appreciated sharply over the last two weeks and yesterday briefly touched its highest level against the euro since May 2017.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

26 February 2019 A U.S. China Trade Deal is in Sight Trump's Huawei U-Turn is Positive

Nothing is done until it's done, and, in the case of Sino-U.S. trade talks, even if a deal is reached, the new normal is that tensions will be bubbling in the background.... More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

26 February 2019 No-Deal Brexit Risk Likely Will Fall Further this Week

The Prime Minister's announcement on Sunday that the meaningful vote in parliament on her Brexit deal will be delayed from this week, until March 12, came as no surprise after a series of prior postponements.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

19 February 2019 A 2019 General Election No Longer is So Implausible

The decision by seven MPs to abandon Labour and set up a new centrist grouping--the Independent Group--will not have a significant impact on the outcome of parliamentary Brexit votes.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

15 February 2019 Japan's Q4 GDP Growth Looks Poor, but the Details are Better

Japan's 0.3% quarter-on quarter increase in Q4 GDP was disappointing, on the face of it, after a downwardly-revised 0.7% fall in Q3.... More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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