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Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Key Issues

4 February 2019 MPC to Break its Radio Silence With a Hawkish Message, Despite Brexit

Investors have revised down their expectations for interest rates since the November Inflation Report and now only a 50% chance of a 25bp hike in Bank Rate is priced-in by the end of this year.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

1 February 2019 Consumer Confidence Indices Likely are Giving an Overly Downbeat Steer

It's tempting to conclude from the recent decline in consumers' confidence that growth in real spending will continue to weaken over the coming quarters, from the already modest 1.8% year-over-year rate in Q3.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

31 January 2019 A Two-Week Delay is All the Prime Minister has Achieved

The Prime Minister achieved a rare victory yesterday, when the Commons passed the government-backed Brady amendment.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

30 January 2019 Extremely Downbeat Leading Indicators Should not be Trusted

Some closely-watched composite leading indicators for the U.K. economy, and for many others, are flashing red.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

29 January 2019 A Guide to Today's Key Brexit Votes in Parliament

Votes in the House of Commons to day likely will mark the start of MPs stamping their collective will on the Brexit process, following the Prime Minister's botched attempt at getting the current Withdrawal Agreement--WA--and Political Declaration through parliament earlier this month.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

25 January 2019 How Would an Extension of Article 50 Affect the MPC's Rate Hike Plans?

MPs look set to take a decisive step next Tuesday towards removing the risk of a calamitous no-deal Brexit at the end of March.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

22 January 2019 The Prime Minister's Plan B Has Little Chance of Success

The Prime Minister has revealed that her Plan B for Brexit is to get Eurosceptics within the Tory party on side in an attempt to show the E.U. that a deal could be done if the backstop for Northern Ireland was amended. Her plan is highly likely to fail, again.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

21 January 2019 How Far Will Sterling Jump if a Soft Brexit Becomes Government Policy?

Signs that the government is softening its Brexit plans, in response to its substantial defeat in the Commons last week, has enabled sterling to recover most of the ground lost against the dollar and euro in the fourth quarter of last year.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

11 January 2019 MPs Will Steer the PM to a Softer Brexit After Next Week's Defeat

The government remains on course to lose next Tuesday's Commons vote on the Withdrawal Agreement--WA--by a huge margin.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

8 January 2019 The Housing Market is Set to Freeze in Early 2019, Thanks to Brexit

The housing market perhaps is where the adverse impact of Brexit uncertainty can be seen most clearly.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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