Latin America Key Issues
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Inflation data in Brazil, Mexico and Chile last week reinforced our view that interest rates will remain on hold, or be cut, over the coming meetings. The recent fall in oil prices, and the weakness of domestic demand, will offset recent volatility caused by the FX sell-off, driven mostly by the coronavirus story.... More by Andres Abadia
Brazilian inflation is off to a bad start this year, but January's jump is not the start of an uptrend, and we think good news is coming.... More by Andres Abadia
Argentina's inflation ended 2019 badly, and it is still too early to bet on a protracted downtrend, even after the renewed economic slowdown.... More by Andres Abadia
Inflation in the Andean economies ended 2019 well within central banks' objectives, despite many domestic and external challenges.... More by Andres Abadia
Inflation in Brazil Ended 2019 Above the BCB's Target; 2020 will be Fine... More by Andres Abadia
Thursday's CPI report in Mexico showed that inflation is edging lower. We are confident that it will continue to fall consistently during Q1, thanks chiefly to the subpar economic recovery, low inertia and the effect of the recent MXN rebound.... More by Andres Abadia
Banxico cut its policy rate by 25bp to 7.25% yesterday, as was widely expected, following similar moves in August, September and November.... More by Andres Abadia
Banxico will meet tomorrow, and we expect Mexican policymakers to cut the main interest rate by 25bp, to 7.25%.... More by Andres Abadia
The Brazilian central bank cut its benchmark Selic interest rate by 50bp to 4.50% on Wednesday night.... More by Andres Abadia
Data released on Friday showed that November inflation was in line with, or below, expectations in Brazil, Colombia and Chile.... More by Andres Abadia
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