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Latin America Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Latin America Key Issues

The Coronavirus Pandemic
  12 June 2020 Brazil's Inflation is in Check, but the Pandemic at Large is a Risk

Brazilian political risk remains high, due mainly to President Bolsonaro's gross mismanagement of the Covid-19 crisis, but, as we have argued in previous Monitors, it is unlikely to deter policymakers from further near-term monetary easing.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  10 June 2020 Banxico will Cut Rates this Month, Despite the Inflation Rebound in May

This week's data have offered further clear hard evidence of the Covid-19 shock to the Mexican economy, supporting our base case of further interest rate cuts in the coming monetary policy meetings.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  9 June 2020 The Severity of the Recession will Keep Inflation Low in the Andes

The coronavirus outbreak has pushed inflation lower in the Andean economies as the shock drives them into the deepest recession on record.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  8 June 2020 Mexico's Survey Data are on the Mend, but a Full Recovery is Distant

Economic conditions remain challenging in Mexico, despite a modest improvement in leading indicators. The usual surveys currently are not well-suited to capture the economy's upturn from the Covid-19 collapse.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  3 June 2020 Chile's Economy Collapses in Q2, but Q3 will be Slightly Better

Chile's near-term economic outlook is still negative after a sharp resurgence of coronavirus cases.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  29 May 2020 The Pandemic is Worsening in the Andes, Despite the Quick Response

We were expecting the pandemic in the Andes to reach a plateau over the coming weeks, given the quick response of regional governments to fight the virus.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  22 May 2020 An Uptick in Sentiment Indicators, but Brazil's Covid Crisis Worsens

The coronavirus pandemic is wreaking havoc in Brazil.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  20 May 2020 Coronavirus Delivers a Tough Blow to Argentina's Struggling Economy

Hard data released in Argentina over the last month showed that the economy was struggling in early Q1, even before the Covid-19 hit.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  19 May 2020 Chile's Q1 GDP Showed Decent Growth, but Q2 will be Trashed

The Chilean economy was emerging in early Q1 from the self-inflicted shock from the social unrest in October, but the upturn was interrupted in early- March by the restrictive measures introduced to contain Covid-19.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  6 May 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector Collapsed in March, It will Slide Further in Q2

Efforts to contain the coronavirus outbreak severely dented industrial activity in Brazil.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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