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Latin America Key Issues
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Latin America Key Issues

LatAm Recovery Remains Subpar...But Low Inflation Is Allowing Interest Rate Cuts

  10 Feb 2020 Temporary Shocks Causes Volatility in LatAm Inflation, Trends are Stable

Inflation data in Brazil, Mexico and Chile last week reinforced our view that interest rates will remain on hold, or be cut, over the coming meetings. The recent fall in oil prices, and the weakness of domestic demand, will offset recent volatility caused by the FX sell-off, driven mostly by the coronavirus story.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  24 Jan 2020 Mid-month Inflation Data Support Banxico and BCB's Dovish Strategy

Brazilian inflation is off to a bad start this year, but January's jump is not the start of an uptrend, and we think good news is coming.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  20 Jan 2020 Argentina's Inflation Ended 2019 Badly, but the BCRA is Cutting Rates

Argentina's inflation ended 2019 badly, and it is still too early to bet on a protracted downtrend, even after the renewed economic slowdown.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  15 Jan 2020 Inflation in the Andean Economies Remains Low, but Policies will Differ

Inflation in the Andean economies ended 2019 well within central banks' objectives, despite many domestic and external challenges.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  14 Jan 2020 Inflation in Brazil Ended 2019 Above the BCB's Target - 2020 will be Fine

Inflation in Brazil Ended 2019 Above the BCB's Target; 2020 will be Fine... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  13 Jan 2020 Mexico's Weak Economic Activity Will Push Core Inflation Down

Thursday's CPI report in Mexico showed that inflation is edging lower. We are confident that it will continue to fall consistently during Q1, thanks chiefly to the subpar economic recovery, low inertia and the effect of the recent MXN rebound.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  20 Dec 2019 Banxico to Deliver Further Rate Cuts, Argentina's Recession Ends, Briefly

Banxico cut its policy rate by 25bp to 7.25% yesterday, as was widely expected, following similar moves in August, September and November.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  18 Dec 2019 Banxico to Cut Rates Even Further, but the COPOM is Almost Done

Banxico will meet tomorrow, and we expect Mexican policymakers to cut the main interest rate by 25bp, to 7.25%.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  13 Dec 2019 Brazil's Central Bank Leaves the Door Open to a Final Rate Cut in Q1

The Brazilian central bank cut its benchmark Selic interest rate by 50bp to 4.50% on Wednesday night.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  9 Dec 2019 Inflation is Ending the Year at a Comfortable Rate, but Threats Loom

Data released on Friday showed that November inflation was in line with, or below, expectations in Brazil, Colombia and Chile.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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