Pantheon Macroeconomics - Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Key Issues

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19 February 2019 A 2019 General Election No Longer is So Implausible

The decision by seven MPs to abandon Labour and set up a new centrist grouping--the Independent Group--will not have a significant impact on the outcome of parliamentary Brexit votes.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

15 February 2019 Japan's Q4 GDP Growth Looks Poor, but the Details are Better

Japan's 0.3% quarter-on quarter increase in Q4 GDP was disappointing, on the face of it, after a downwardly-revised 0.7% fall in Q3.... More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

15 February 2019 Ignore Germany and Italy for a Bit, and the EZ Q4 GDP Data are Solid

The EZ Q4 GDP data narrowly avoided a downward revision in yesterday's second estimate.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

13 February 2019 A Weaker Pound Wouldn't be a Silver Lining in a No-deal Dystopia

Brexiteers have downplayed the economic consequences of a no-deal exit by arguing that a further depreciation of sterling would cushion the blow.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

12 February 2019 Is it Safe to Assume that the ECB Will be on Hold Through 2019

Our suggestion that the ECB could still raise the deposit rate later this year, by 20bp to -0.4%, has met with strong scepticism in recent conversations with readers.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

8 February 2019 The MPC has Gone only Half-Way to Endorsing Markets' Lower Rate Path

In the midst of heightened and potentially longerlasting Brexit uncertainty, the MPC revised down its forecast for GDP growth sharply yesterday and came close to endorsing investors' view that the chances of a 25bp rate hike before the end of this year have slipped to 50:50.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

4 February 2019 MPC to Break its Radio Silence With a Hawkish Message, Despite Brexit

Investors have revised down their expectations for interest rates since the November Inflation Report and now only a 50% chance of a 25bp hike in Bank Rate is priced-in by the end of this year.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

31 January 2019 Japanese Retail Sales Demand a Q4 Private Consumption Upgrade

The value of Japanese retail sales bounced back strongly in December, rising 0.9% month-on-month, after a 1.1% drop in November.... More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

31 January 2019 A Two-Week Delay is All the Prime Minister has Achieved

The Prime Minister achieved a rare victory yesterday, when the Commons passed the government-backed Brady amendment.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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