Pantheon Macroeconomics - Strong real M1 growth suggests the cyclical recovery is in good shape. But recent economic data indicate GDP growth slowed in Q4, and survey evidence deteriorated in January. This slightly downbeat message, however, is a far cry from the horror story told by financial markets. The recent collapse in stock-to-bond returns extends the decline which began in Q2 last year, signalling the Eurozone is
on the brink of recession.

Eurozone Documents | 05 Feb. 2016 Bonds Signal an Imminent EZ Recession, but Don't Take the Bait
Strong real M1 growth suggests the cyclical recovery is in good shape. But recent economic data indicate GDP growth slowed in Q4, and survey evidence deteriorated in January. This slightly downbeat message, however, is a far cry from the horror story told by financial markets. The recent collapse in stock-to-bond returns extends the decline which began in Q2 last year, signalling the Eurozone is on the brink of recession.

Sorry, but our website is best viewed on a device with a screen width greater than 320px. You can contact us at: info@pantheonmacro.com.

05 Feb. 2016 Bonds Signal an Imminent EZ Recession, but Don't Take the Bait

By Claus Vistesen

Strong real M1 growth suggests the cyclical recovery is in good shape. But recent economic data indicate GDP growth slowed in Q4, and survey evidence deteriorated in January. This slightly downbeat message, however, is a far cry from the horror story told by financial markets. The recent collapse in stock-to-bond returns extends the decline which began in Q2 last year, signalling the Eurozone is on the brink of recession.

Posted: 5th Feb 2016 in 'Eurozone Documents'

This document is only available to subscribers of our Eurozone Economic Research.

Request a complimentary trial or login here

Are you taking full advantage of our daily publications?

Pantheon Macroeconomics produce daily publications for U.S., Eurozone, Latin America, UK and Asia, as well as analysis on key data within a few minutes of their release. To activate a complimentary trial on any of these areas, please click here.

U.S. Economic ResearchEurozone Economic ResearchLatin America Economic ResearchUK Economic ResearchAsia Economic Research

« Go back to publications list, or Click here to register for a complimentary trial
Consistently Right

Access Key Enabled Navigation

Keywords for: Eurozone Documents | 05 Feb. 2016 Bonds Signal an Imminent EZ Recession, but Don't Take the Bait

stock, stocks, bond, bonds, recession, ecb, market, eurozone, equities, growth, gdp, china, chinese, qe, draghi, rate cuts, inflation, pantheon macroeconomics, pantheon, macroeconomic, macroeconomics, independent advice, independent analysis, independent macroeconomic researcj, independent, analysis, research, economic intelligence, economy, economic, economics, economists, Dr. Ian Shepherdson, Ian Shepherdson, financial market, financial, market, finance, macro, macro research, independent macro research